Interesting times we live in. The games nations play remind me of those that are played in microcosm by humans. Unfortunately, when it is nations that are playing, the destiny of so many people is in the balance, I wonder at the temerity of those playing the games.
To my way of thinking the beginning of all the “Arab Spring” was a few years back when the economy of the US started spiraling downwards. Something drastic had to be done to balance this. So with a few think tanks, a few “visionaries”, economists, strategists and dreamers, they came up with the idea of a “New World Order”. How to achieve that took a bit longer and the actual implementation started with the demolition of Iraq. The invasion “to establish democracy” ended up by achieving exactly what was planned from the very beginning, a failed state in Iraq. OK, one done, two to go. With three strong armies in the region, the plan was to take them down. The armies of Iraq, Syria and Egypt. With Iraq down there were just Syria and Egypt left. It was easy to get Syria into trouble. A fairly controllable number, where population is concerned, and many different factions that made it easy to start a split and a fragmentation of the whole. With an unpopular leader at the helm, it was easy to start a “revolution” to get rid of the dictator. So they started applying the 4th generation war of imploding the state. This was not enough though, the army was very strong, and even though the “rebels” were provided with the latest equipment, still the Syrian army had supremacy. So drastic measures had to be taken and Al Qaeda was called in.
Egypt was another kettle of fish. The plans for Egypt had been brewing for quite some time, and the alliances worked on and cemented over the years. It was decided that the only way to subdue Egypt was to have the very strongly organized and extremely well heeled Islamic fundamentalist organization, the Muslim Brotherhood, rule Egypt. This organization, with its headquarters for the International office in London, managed to convince the over-eager American decision makers that they were the right group which can run Egypt and control it with an iron fist.
So the “Arab Spring” touched Egypt on 25 January 2011. Mubarak who had been in power for 30 years was easily removed after a “popular uprising” by the galant youth. Euphoria was the reaction, and many a vicious and criminal act were swept under the carpet of the newly gained freedom. Even older veterans who should have known better, were swept away on a high wave of patriotism.
The Supreme Council for the Armed Forces (SCAF) was named by Mubarak to run the country after his removal. Big question mark. How could a deposed leader name his successor, when the constitution had succession clearly defined, till another president is elected? But these questions were drowned in the clashing cymbals of victory. SCAF was made up of a few tired old men who had not seen war in 30 years and who had become fat cats on their own through setting up many an industrial and agricultural enterprise, and by lining their pockets very generously, both from the income of said enterprises, as well as the annual American military aid. All these men wanted was to retire with full honors and keep all their businesses intact. So when suddenly they were in the limelight and had to step up and take over, they panicked and turned to the one entity they thought could help out in “controlling” the masses.
The Brotherhood, on its part, to prove to those in power that they are an entity to be reckoned with, and to prove to the Americans that they were a worthy partner, put their plans into overdrive. From the very early days of the revolution, they contacted their counterpart in Gaza, Hamas. They facilitated Hamas’ entry into Egypt and they started the terrorizing of the people. First they broke into the prisons where the Hamas and Brotherhood members were held, let them out, and partially demolished the prisons, threatening the rest of the prisoners with death if they did not take off. At the same time all main police stations were attacked and the officers and personnel in these stations killed, their weapons stolen. Chaos ruled. The American plan was working. But the Egyptian people did something that gave all other parties pause. Automatically, without any leadership or coordination, but through word of mouth, then through FB, Egyptians organized themselves into civil home watch groups, each entity responsible for the buildings on one street. They took shifts, and carried out their duties religiously. After the first flurry of looting, while the police stations were being attacked, crime went down drastically with the home watch groups in place. This was the first hint that should have given America pause for thought. But they were so happy with the success of their plans, the Brotherhood was doing an excellent job in demolishing the police once and for all, and the doddering old men were in their pockets. All looked well with the world. In due course they acknowledged the “glorious revolution” heaped accolades on the heads of the youth of Egypt who should be taken as shining examples of peaceful freedom fighters, and the rest of the plan was being implemented. With the Brotherhood in an uneasy alliance with the army, the roadmap leading to the ascendancy of the Brotherhood to the throne of Egypt was being executed, step by step.
What came next is history. Morsi took over through a huge operation of fraud and intimidation, and the Brotherhood showed its true colors as an international terrorist organization that had Egypt by the throat. The people started revolting again to get rid of a worse dictator than ever Mubarak was, because this one was bringing in foreign, armed elements to subdue the people. The army was neutralized by removing all those doddering old men and by bringing in new blood in the person of Abdel Fattah Al Sisy.
In April 2012 a little known group of Egyptian youth started a peaceful movement called Tamarod or Rebel. Very little attention was given to it. But when it started firing the imagination of ordinary Egyptians who had become totally disillusioned by the Brotherhood and its methods, some in the Brotherhood started taking notice. The usual thuggery was practiced at first, several volunteers were beaten, offices looted and burned, but the Tamarod movement had taken such a hold of the Egyptian people’s imagination as their only salvation, that the people, again, for the second time, without coordination or leadership, formed themselves into voluntary protective groups to the Tamarod movement, its workers and its offices. This should have been the second thing that should have given America pause for thought and re-assessment. But no, they were still reassured by the Brotherhood that they had full control of Egypt and the Egyptians.
The full shock to the world at large, and America and the Brotherhood in particular came on June 28 when Tamarod announced the number of petitions signed by the people asking for the deposition of Morsi. Over twenty two million Egyptians had signed. Shock on the part of the Brotherhood, who just denied this and accused them of fraud. But when a call went out to the people to take to the streets on a June 30, the one year anniversary of Morsi’s becoming President, things started to look more serious.
Up to April the people were not sure where Al Sisy’s sympathies lay. The Egyptian people felt that they were on their own. If they wanted to get rid of that gang that took over Egypt, they would have to do it on their own. An unarmed, peaceful people, taking on a fully armed terrorist organization, who probably had the army on its side as well. These were very, very dark days for most Egyptians. Depression, gloom and worry were at their most intense, but so was the determination to do something about it.
Some time in April, Al Sisy took the opportunity of the graduation of a military class and gave a speech that was televised. I had not seen it that day, like most people I did not think that anything interesting would be said. But by next day it went viral. The man just stood there, very low profile, in a calm low voice, got the message through to the people that the army had their back. Like many others, when I heard this I broke down and cried. We were not alone. Now we really had a chance in fighting those terrorists.
When on June 30 millions of people took to the streets, America and the Brotherhood started scrambling to put a lid on the situation. But then Al Sisy stepped in to tell Morsi that the situation was serious indeed and that he either steps down of his own accord, or calls for early presidential elections. That the people were on the rampage and nothing short of that would satisfy them.
It is here that the game of nations begins in earnest.
To be continued.